Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2588.934516 2807.221365 3029.057686 3271.063366 3527.321709 3790.278233 4080.187336
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2197.258931 2516.402789 2853.690549 3235.509175 3654.508313 4099.107434 4605.313531
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1984.800174 2366.755711 2782.131961 3264.940494 3808.168053 4397.994762 5084.286563
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1804.988625 2228.781372 2701.072943 3262.388220 3907.163242 4620.525755 5465.209847
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1695.095455 2157.243216 2683.207779 3320.191968 4064.650428 4901.167250 5905.926110
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1557.925878 2041.926737 2604.072215 3297.234137 4120.692073 5059.482491 6202.098483
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1488.877650 2001.709309 2607.817973 3366.681034 4280.635643 5335.226884 6632.862628
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1403.100769 1934.615406 2573.698609 3385.847548 4377.025293 5534.004864 6972.476193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1318.674407 1863.575149 2529.771941 3388.565515 4449.968049 5702.496755 7274.987230
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1195.231528 1735.776384 2408.862547 3290.120201 4394.171877 5712.284063 7384.274478
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1174.688635 1739.746662 2452.642022 3396.359744 4590.004616 6026.713876 7862.242105
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1140.139032 1722.818859 2467.822706 3465.078281 4738.577841 6283.880728 8272.229953
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1076.330228 1664.577741 2428.325635 3463.716454 4800.318973 6437.045128 8559.838244
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1002.826646 1589.495003 2363.592877 3426.986098 4815.216972 6531.169457 8774.877527
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 960.805763 1555.739580 2351.761116 3457.713871 4915.317856 6731.324231 9122.113005
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 909.604588 1506.264963 2316.317832 3455.049136 4970.643736 6874.250882 9397.849067
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 884.309878 1492.554519 2328.562916 3515.394716 5107.958218 7121.696469 9806.638156
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 831.914680 1436.607495 2280.036280 3491.428694 5132.641251 7224.245498 10031.694866
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 814.813955 1431.982302 2302.517700 3563.919985 5285.290482 7491.983239 10468.702231
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 781.974703 1401.988677 2287.714023 3583.923919 5367.161844 7668.176538 10789.333100
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 745.816210 1365.137180 2261.536145 3586.760543 5424.986585 7812.732175 11069.641372
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 680.677178 1280.030333 2162.387295 3484.001992 5336.594993 7763.345528 11096.871831
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 680.445911 1297.405421 2213.565333 3594.894904 5541.444488 8102.023511 11631.753273